Analysis of Demand and Competition for Indonesian Frozen Tilapia Fillet with Major Competitors in the International Market
Authors
-
Mutiara Ria Despita Maharani
Departemen Agribisnis Fakultas Ekonomi dan Manajemen IPB University Indonesia https://orcid.org/0009-0006-1993-8973
- Muhammad Ali Yafi
Departemen Agribisnis Fakultas Ekonomi dan Manajemen IPB University Indonesia- Musyafak
Departemen Agribisnis Fakultas Ekonomi dan Manajemen IPB University Indonesia https://orcid.org/0009-0003-4087-2233Keywords:
AIDS model, export, frozen fillets of tilapia, international tradeAbstract
Frozen tilapia fillets are the only farmed fish among Indonesia's leading fishery export commodities. Fierce competition requires Indonesia to maintain its position. This study aims to analyze the demand for and competition with major competitor countries in the international market for Indonesian frozen tilapia fillets. This study employs the Almost Ideal Demand System (AIDS) and estimates it using the Seemingly Unrelated Regression (SUR) method. The data source is secondary data obtained from ITC Trade Map with HS code 030461 (Frozen fillets of tilapia "Oreochromis spp."). The analysis is based on panel data with monthly time series from 2014 to 2024. Meanwhile, cross-sectional data uses China, Taiwan, the Netherlands, and the USA as Indonesia's main competitors. The findings indicate that demand for Indonesian frozen tilapia fillets is price-inelastic, meaning it is relatively unresponsive to price changes. Indonesian frozen tilapia fillets are classified as inferior goods with an elasticity value of -0.478. This implies that a rise in consumer income will actually reduce demand. The cross-price elasticity indicates that Indonesia tends to compete with China, Taiwan, the Netherlands, and the USA. This is because the relationship between Indonesian frozen tilapia fillet and competing countries is one of substitution. The findings of this study reveal that Indonesia must focus on strategies to improve product quality and production efficiency in order to strengthen its position in the global market. Exporters need to increase the value of their products through diversification, quality certification, and compliance with international standards in order to survive and compete with rival countries.
Downloads
Download data is not yet available.References
Adetya, A., Rifin, A., & Nurmalina, R. (2025). Posisi Pasar Ekspor Biji Kopi Indonesia Di Pasar Internasional : Pendekatan Almost Ideal Demand System (AIDS). Forum Agribisnis (Agribusiness Forum), 15(1), 114–123. https://doi.org/10.29244/fagb.15.1.114-123
Anam, M. K. (2021). Efisiensi Perusahaan Pengolahan Perikanan Di Indonesia Menggunakan Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA). Jurnal Ilmiah Agribisnis Dan Perikanan (Agrikan UMMU-Ternate), 14(2), 704–712. https://doi.org/10.52046/agrikan.v14i2.704-712
Annisa, D. I., Rifin, A., & Novianti, T. (2021). Analisis Permintaan Bubuk Kayu Manis Indonesia di Pasar Dunia. Jurnal Ilmu Pertanian Indonesia, 26(3 SE-Articles), 363–369. https://doi.org/10.18343/jipi.26.3.363
Aulia, U. R., Harianto, & Novianti, T. (2019). Comparison of Market Position between Indonesia and Malaysia in the Refined Palm Oil (RPOs) Market, United States of America. Jurnal Ilmu Pertanian Indonesia, 24(1), 48–57. https://doi.org/10.18343/jipi.24.1.48
Banks, J., Blundell, R., & Lewbel, A. (1997). Quadratic Engel Curves And Consumer Demand. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 79(4), 527–539. https://econpapers.repec.org/RePEc:tpr:restat:v:79:y:1997:i:4:p:527-539
Barten, A. P. (1969). Maximum Likelihood Estimation Of A Complete System Of Demand Equations. European Economic Review, 1(1), 7–73. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/0014-2921(69)90017-8
Basarir, A. (2013). An Almost Ideal Demand System Analysis Of Meat Demand In the UAE. Bulgarian Journal of Agricultural Science, 19(1), 32–39. https://www.agrojournal.org/19/01-05.pdf
Carlucci, D., Nocella, G., De Devitiis, B., Viscecchia, R., Bimbo, F., & Nardone, G. (2015). Consumer Purchasing Behaviour Towards Fish And Seafood Products. Patterns And Insights From A Sample Of International Studies. Appetite, 84, 212–227. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.appet.2014.10.008
Central Statistics Agency, B. (2022). Data Produksi dan Nilai Produksi Perikanan Tangkap Menurut Provinsi dan Jenis Penangkapan. https://www.bps.go.id/id/statistics-table/3/TlRkSE0xQmlRWEpYVUhBeVVVTm9NWE5hYmtSd1p6MDkjMw==/produksi-dan-nilai-produksi-perikanan-tangkap-menurut-provinsi-dan-jenis-penangkapan--2022.html
Deaton, A., & Muellbauer, J. (1980). An Almost Ideal Demand System By Angus Deaton And John Muellbour. Neuroradiology 41, 70(3), 312–326. https://www.aeaweb.org/aer/top20/70.3.312-326.pdf
Dewanti, R. P., Harianto, & Nurmalina, R. (2020). Analisis Permintaan Dan Persaingan Minyak Kelapa (Crude Coconut Oil) Indonesia Di Pasar Internasional. Jurnal Agribisnis Indonesia (Journal of Indonesian Agribusiness), 8(1), 69–82. https://doi.org/10.29244/jai.2020.8.1.69-82
Firohmatillah, A. R., & Simanjuntak, A. R. (2022). Analisis Permintaan Impor Uni Eropa Untuk Cpo Indonesia Dengan Pendekatan Almost Ideal Demand System (AIDS). Jurnal Agroindustri, Agribisnis, Dan Agroteknologi, 1(1 SE-Artikel), 28–33. https://akses.ptki.ac.id/jurnal/index.php/agrotristek/article/view/16
García-del-Hoyo, J. J., Jiménez-Toribio, R., & Guillotreau, P. (2017). A demand analysis of the Spanish canned tuna market. Marine Policy, 86, 127–133. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.marpol.2017.09.014
Gerungan, L. K. F. R. (2016). Penegakan Hukum Di Wilayah Perairan Indonesia. Lex Et Societatis, 4(5), 5-13. https://doi.org/10.35796/les.v4i5.11947
Goldberg, P. K., & Knetter, M. M. (1997). Goods Prices and Exchange Rates: What Have We Learned? Journal of Economic Literature, 35(3), 1243–1272. http://www.jstor.org/stable/2729977
Green, R., & Alston, J. M. (1990). Elasticities in AIDS Models. American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 72(2), 442–445. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.2307/1242346
Harianto, Rifin A, Rosiana N. 2022. Ekonomi Manajerial. Bogor: IPB Press.
Hasibuan, M. F. A., & Putra, H. S. (2023). Analisis Persaingan Ekspor Biji Kopi Di Pasar Internasional. Agriprimatech, 7(1), 25–33. https://jurnal.unprimdn.ac.id/index.php/Agriprimatech/article/view/4160/2655
Hsu, C.-F., Chen, Y.-J., & Chang, K.-I. (2023). Modeling Import Demand for Fishery Products in Japan: A Dynamic AIDS Approach. Marine Resource Economics, 38(2), 135–151. https://doi.org/10.1086/723729
ITC Trade Map. (2025). List of Exporters For The Selected Product. https://trademap.org/.
Kristiani, M., Suharno, & Harmini. (2023). Export Performance of Indonesian Processed Tuna Commodities in the Japanese Market. Agro Bali : Agricultural Journal, 6(3), 557–567. https://doi.org/10.37637/ab.v6i3.1495
Krugman, P., Melitz, M., & Obstfeld, M. (2018). International Economics: Theory and Policy (11th ed.). Harlow : Pearson Education.
Mankiw, N. G. (2018). Principles of Microeconomics (7th ed.). Stamford: Cengage Learning. https://books.google.co.id/books?id=c76FCwAAQBAJ
Ministry of Marine Affairs and Fisheries. (2023). Profil Pasar Tilapia. Jakarta: Direktorat Jenderal Penguatan Daya Saing Produk Kelautan dan Perikanan.
Ministry of Marine Affairs and Fisheries. (2024a). Menteri Trenggono Ajak Sarjana Perikanan Kembangkan Budidaya Lima Komoditas Unggulan Ekspor. https://kkp.go.id/news/news-detail/menteri-trenggono-ajak-sarjana-perikanan-kembangkan-budidaya-lima-komoditas-unggulan-ekspor-p8j2.html.
Ministry of Marine Affairs and Fisheries. (2024b). KKP Optimis Tilapia Indonesia Bisa Jadi Primadona di Pasar Internasional. https://www.kkp.go.id/djpdskp/kkp-optimis-tilapia-indonesia-bisa-jadi-primadona-di-pasar-internasional65f94346a9541/detail.html
Ministry of Maritime Affairs and Fisheries (KKP). (2025). Data Ekspor Impor. https://portaldata.kkp.go.id/.
Moschini, G. (1998). The semiflexible almost ideal demand system. European Economic Review, 42(2), 349–364. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/S0014-2921(97)00060-3
Nankwenya, B., Kaunda, E., Chimatiro, S., & Resources, N. (2017). The Demand for Fish Products in Malawi : An Almost Ideal Demand System Estimation. Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development, 8(16), 63–71. https://iiste.org/Journals/index.php/JEDS/article/view/38380
Ningsih, V. Y., Asriani, P. S., & Sriyoto, S. (2016). Analisis Daya Saing Usaha Pembesaran Ikan Nila Petani Pemodal Kecil Di Kabupaten Musi Rawas. Jurnal AGRISEP: Kajian Masalah Sosial Ekonomi Pertanian Dan Agribisnis, 15(2 SE-ARTICLE 15), 279–291. https://doi.org/10.31186/jagrisep.15.2.279-291
Nurzakiah, S., Nurmalina, R., & Netti Tinaprilla. (2025). Analysis of Demand and Competition for Indonesia's Eel in the International Market. Agro Bali : Agricultural Journal, 8(2), 553–564. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.37637/ab.v8i2.2048
Nurzakiah, S., Rifin, A., & Nurmalina, R. (2024). Posisi Pasar Karet Indonesia Di Pasar Internasional. Forum Agribisnis (Agribusiness Forum), 14(2), 166–175. https://doi.org/10.29244/fagb.14.2.166-175
Pinto, J. da S., Suharno, S., & Rifin, A. (2022). Kinerja Ekspor Cengkeh Indonesia di Pasar India: Pendekatan Linear Approximate Almost Ideal Demand System (LA/AIDS). Jurnal Agribisnis Indonesia, 10(2), 262–279. https://doi.org/10.29244/jai.2022.10.2.262-279
Rosario, I. (2022). Analisis Permintaan Impor Minyak Kelapa (Coconut Crude Oil) Indonesia Di Pasar Eropa. Tesis. Institut Pertanian Bogor.
Surbakti, D. P. S. B., Supriana, T., & Wibowo, R. P. (2024). Analisis Permintaan dan Persaingan Ekspor Pisang Indonesia, Filipina dan Thailand di Pasar China dengan Menggunakan Model Almost Ideal Demand System (AIDS). Agro Bali : Agricultural Journal, 7(1), 194–204. https://doi.org/10.37637/ab.v7i1.1558
Tomek, W. G., & Robinson, K. L. (1990). Agriculture Product Prices (Third). Cornell University Press.
Utami, D. K. (2023). Daya Saing Ekspor Komoditas Ikan Tilapia (Nila) Sumatera Utara.Tesis. Universitas Sumatera Utara.
Yafi, M. A., Suharno, & Erwidodo. (2024). Relationship and Elasticity of Indonesia's Tobacco Cigars with Major Competitors in the International Market. Agro Bali: Agricultural Journal, 7(3), 774–785. https://doi.org/10.37637/ab.v7i3.2005
Published
2025-11-24How to Cite
Maharani, M. R. D., Yafi, M. A., & Musyafak, M. (2025). Analysis of Demand and Competition for Indonesian Frozen Tilapia Fillet with Major Competitors in the International Market. Buletin Penelitian Sosial Ekonomi Pertanian Fakultas Pertanian Universitas Haluoleo, 27(2), 140–151. https://doi.org/10.37149/bpsosek.v27i2.2195Issue
Section
ArticlesDigital Object Identifierhttps://doi.org/10.37149/bpsosek.v27i2.2195Copyright & LicensingCopyright (c) 2025 Mutiara Ria Despita Maharani, Muhammad Ali Yafi, Musyafak

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.
Authors retain copyright and grant the journal the right of first publication with the work simultaneously licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution (CC-BY-SA) 4.0 License that allows others to share the work with an acknowledgment of the work’s authorship initial publication in this journal.
Most read articles by the same author(s)
- Amanda Sekar Adyanti, Muhammad Ali Yafi, Market Integration of Indonesia and Malaysia Crude Palm Oil (CPO) Export Prices (A Vecm Approach) , Buletin Penelitian Sosial Ekonomi Pertanian Fakultas Pertanian Universitas Haluoleo: Vol. 26 No. 2 (2024)
Make a Submission
Sinta IF
Menu
- HOME
- ONLINE SUBMISSIONS
- ABOUT
- Contact Us
- Editorial Team
- Peer Reviewers
- Aim and Scope
- Article Processing Charges
- Peer Review Process
- Screening Plagiarism
- Open Access Policy
- Copyright Notice
- Author Guidelines
- Publication Ethics
- Indexing and Abstracting
- Citedness in Scopus Indexed
- Crossmark Policy
- Journal History
- Visitor Statistics
Keywords
Information
Published by Jurusan Agribisnis Fakultas Pertanian Universitas Halu Oleo
© BPSosek, p-ISSN: 1410-4466 | e-ISSN: 2656-4270 | DOI: Prefix 10.33772 and 10.37149 by Crossref
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License. - Muhammad Ali Yafi

